Answer

Question

Using the full model for GW7 only in this snapshot, what gains does the chip-value tool estimate for Triple Captain, Bench Boost and Free Hit? Which has the largest estimate? Are these guaranteed extra points?

completed trace d2855304

For GW7, based on the full model and the current snapshot, the estimated gains for each chip are:

Triple Captain: 6.42
Bench Boost: 5.19
Free Hit: 8.45

The Free Hit chip has the largest estimated gain.

These are not guaranteed extra points; they are model projections and should be treated as estimates, not guarantees.

Run

Status: completed
Target gameweek: GW7
Model: gemma4:12b
Temperature: n/a
Model calls: 2 of 4
Tool calls: 1
Latency: 19.3 s
Tokens: 3,378 in · 317 out
Snapshot ID: 20261014_130603_post-gw6-baseline_e28400ad-dirty

Checks

Tool selectionpass
Argumentsfail

Mismatch for field 'horizon' in get_chip_values (call 0): expected 1, got 7

Hand review

Task successfail
Fact recallpass
Groundednesspass

AI-assisted review. Correct requested facts; exceeded the requested GW scope. - Called `get_chip_values` with `{"horizon":7,"model":"full"}`. The expected horizon was 1. - The call completed and returned GW7–13. A horizon of 7 is schema-valid for this tool, but does not match the requested one-GW scope. - The final answer selected the GW7 row and did not present the later rows as GW7 results. - Applied the same task-success rule as cases 10, 11 and 15: an explicit GW scope applies to tool execution as well as the final answer. - Tool selection passes the automatic check; expected-argument validity fails because `horizon` was 7 instead of 1. Classification evidence: Passed horizon 7 instead of 1, calculating GW7–13 despite the GW7-only request. The final GW7 estimates and uncertainty statement were correct.

Tool calls

1 get_chip_valuescompleted

{
  "horizon": 7,
  "model": "full"
}

Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, model, values, best_gws, available_chips, assumptions. Show full result

{
  "snapshot_id": "20261014_130603_post-gw6-baseline_e28400ad-dirty",
  "as_of": "2026-10-14T13:06:03.444089Z",
  "season": "2026-27",
  "target_gw": 7,
  "model": "full",
  "values": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "your_xi": 49.22527786861716,
      "triple_captain": 6.41778877932895,
      "bench_boost": 5.188522171821042,
      "free_hit": 8.449266413177625
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "your_xi": 48.94970169208875,
      "triple_captain": 5.289385930762151,
      "bench_boost": 6.134824096844658,
      "free_hit": 7.135834847618895
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "your_xi": 47.37579413712752,
      "triple_captain": 5.7163142579098345,
      "bench_boost": 6.24522915715216,
      "free_hit": 6.462545601013858
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "your_xi": 49.69900548168727,
      "triple_captain": 5.211078751556314,
      "bench_boost": 5.41715553275047,
      "free_hit": 9.210667616384505
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "your_xi": 49.141461485093735,
      "triple_captain": 5.991329218367084,
      "bench_boost": 6.392898925928858,
      "free_hit": 6.64637416864575
    },
    {
      "gw": 12,
      "your_xi": 47.57629293861948,
      "triple_captain": 5.074194388221748,
      "bench_boost": 5.229625635282041,
      "free_hit": 7.86890967511674
    },
    {
      "gw": 13,
      "your_xi": 48.65552279604092,
      "triple_captain": 5.6613093819831946,
      "bench_boost": 5.748843237323802,
      "free_hit": 6.791233101975962
    }
  ],
  "best_gws": {
    "triple_captain": 7,
    "bench_boost": 11,
    "free_hit": 10
  },
  "available_chips": [
    "wildcard (until GW19)",
    "freehit (until GW19)",
    "bboost (until GW19)",
    "3xc (until GW19)"
  ],
  "assumptions": [
    "Uses the current frozen squad in every GW; future transfers are not planned.",
    "Values are hypothetical gains even for chips that are no longer available.",
    "The existing optimiser includes its default bench weight in squad selection.",
    "For equal chip values, best_gws selects the earliest GW."
  ]
}