Answer

Question

For Arsenal, team ID 1, use only GW9. Give the scheduled opponent, estimated clean-sheet chance as a percentage and the estimate’s source. Is the clean sheet guaranteed?

completed trace e9428fde

For Arsenal in GW9, the scheduled opponent is Liverpool. The estimated clean-sheet chance is 28.36% (based on "ratings" data). The clean sheet is not guaranteed, as it is a statistical estimate.

Run

Status: completed
Target gameweek: GW9
Model: gemma4:12b
Temperature: n/a
Model calls: 2 of 4
Tool calls: 1
Latency: 23.7 s
Tokens: 3,366 in · 429 out
Snapshot ID: 20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty

Checks

Tool selectionpass
Argumentsfail

Mismatch for field 'horizon' in get_fixture_outlook (call 0): expected 1, got 4

Tool calls

1 get_fixture_outlookcompleted

{
  "team_id": 1
}

Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, team_id, club, gws, fixtures. Show full result

{
  "snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
  "as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
  "season": "2026-27",
  "target_gw": 9,
  "team_id": 1,
  "club": "Arsenal",
  "gws": [
    9,
    10,
    11,
    12
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "fixture_id": 87,
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent_id": 14,
      "opponent": "Liverpool",
      "home": false,
      "expected_goals_for": 1.5284674019540587,
      "expected_goals_against": 1.2600585245005635,
      "clean_sheet_probability": 0.2836374262753013,
      "source": "ratings"
    },
    {
      "fixture_id": 91,
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent_id": 11,
      "opponent": "Hull City",
      "home": true,
      "expected_goals_for": 2.426491869250047,
      "expected_goals_against": 0.654349210028379,
      "clean_sheet_probability": 0.5197802202951056,
      "source": "ratings"
    },
    {
      "fixture_id": 109,
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent_id": 17,
      "opponent": "Newcastle",
      "home": false,
      "expected_goals_for": 1.723289688486241,
      "expected_goals_against": 1.083427463609518,
      "clean_sheet_probability": 0.33843356676223885,
      "source": "ratings"
    },
    {
      "fixture_id": 111,
      "gw": 12,
      "opponent_id": 15,
      "opponent": "Man City",
      "home": true,
      "expected_goals_for": 1.597800043629845,
      "expected_goals_against": 1.15918827907376,
      "clean_sheet_probability": 0.3137407474802544,
      "source": "ratings"
    }
  ]
}