Answer
Asked during eval run step19-kimi-k3-cloud-t0-r2 · case projection-is-not-observed-points · snapshot GW9
Question
Use the full model for Haaland, element ID 411. Give his observed GW8 points and projected GW9 points. Is the GW9 figure an actual result or a guaranteed score? Retrieve one finished gameweek.
Answer
completed trace 9938531fHaaland (Man City, FWD, £15.8m) — snapshot of 28 Oct 2026, targeting GW9 (2026-27 season):
- GW8 (observed result): 8 points — 90 minutes, 1 goal, no clean sheet.
- GW9 (full-model projection): ≈ 5.9 expected points.
The GW9 figure is a model projection, not an actual result and not a guaranteed score. It's an estimate of his average expected return; his real score could be higher or lower.
Finished gameweek retrieved — GW8 top scorers (observed):
| Rank | Player | Club | Pos | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel | Arsenal | DEF | 17 |
| 2 | Konsa | Arsenal | DEF | 14 |
| 3 | N. Jackson | Aston Villa | FWD | 13 |
| 4 | Hill | Bournemouth | DEF | 11 |
| 5 | Bobb | Fulham | MID | 11 |
For context, Haaland's recent observed form: 9 (GW4), 6 (GW5), 6 (GW6), 13 (GW7), 8 (GW8) — a goal in each of his last five gameweeks.
Run
- Status
- completed
- Target gameweek
- GW9
- Model
- kimi-k3:cloud
- Temperature
- 0
- Model calls
- 2 of 4
- Tool calls
- 2
- Latency
- 12.7 s
- Tokens
- 4,033 in · 847 out
- Snapshot ID
- 20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty
Checks
-
Tool selectionpass
-
Argumentsfail
Mismatch for field 'history_gws' in get_player_summary (call 0): expected 1, got 5
-
Numberspass
-
Teamsn/a
-
Safetyn/a
Tool calls
{
"element_id": 411,
"history_gws": 5,
"model": "full"
}
Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, player, history, projection, model. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"player": {
"element_id": 411,
"player_name": "Haaland",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Man City",
"current_price": 158,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
"history": [
{
"gw": 4,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 9.0,
"goals_scored": 1.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 1.0
},
{
"gw": 5,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 6.0,
"goals_scored": 1.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
},
{
"gw": 6,
"minutes": 79.0,
"total_points": 6.0,
"goals_scored": 1.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 1.0
},
{
"gw": 7,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 13.0,
"goals_scored": 2.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
},
{
"gw": 8,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 8.0,
"goals_scored": 1.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
}
],
"projection": {
"gw": 9,
"expected_points": 5.880235614972674
},
"model": "full"
}
{
"gw": 8,
"limit": 5,
"statistic": "total_points"
}
Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, gw, statistic, position, leaders. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"gw": 8,
"statistic": "total_points",
"position": null,
"leaders": [
{
"rank": 1,
"element_id": 4,
"player_name": "Gabriel",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Arsenal",
"value": 17.0
},
{
"rank": 2,
"element_id": 31,
"player_name": "Konsa",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Arsenal",
"value": 14.0
},
{
"rank": 3,
"element_id": 166,
"player_name": "N.Jackson",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Aston Villa",
"value": 13.0
},
{
"rank": 4,
"element_id": 60,
"player_name": "Hill",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Bournemouth",
"value": 11.0
},
{
"rank": 5,
"element_id": 264,
"player_name": "Bobb",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Fulham",
"value": 11.0
}
]
}