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Answer
Asked during eval run step19-kimi-k3-cloud-t1-r1 · case recommendation-transfers-and-captain · snapshot GW9
Question
Using the full model over GW9 to GW12, with a 2-point transfer threshold and no hits allowed, should I transfer or hold for GW9? Give the gain, threshold, immediate buys and sells, starting XI, captain, vice-captain and ordered bench. Explain what period the gain covers.
Answer
completed trace e3bdd256Recommendation: TRANSFER ✅ (GW9)
Snapshot: 2026-10-28 21:26 UTC, targeting GW9 (season 2026-27) | Model: full | Horizon: GW9–GW12
Decision
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Gain | 3.78 pts |
| Threshold | 2.00 pts |
| Plan objective | 183.52 |
| Hold objective | 179.74 |
| Hits taken | 0 |
The gain of 3.78 exceeds your 2-point threshold, so make the transfers. With 3 free transfers and £1.1m in the bank, all three moves are free — no hits required.
GW9 moves
Sell:
- João Pedro (Chelsea, FWD, £7.8m) — thigh injury, unknown return date
- B. Fernandes (Man Utd, MID, £11.7m)
- Dubravka (Spurs, GKP, £4.0m)
Buy:
- Raya (Arsenal, GKP, £6.2m)
- Mbeumo (Man Utd, MID, £7.9m)
- Barry (Everton, FWD, £5.6m)
GW9 starting XI (3-4-3, est. 48.6 pts)
| Pos | Players |
|---|---|
| GKP | Raya |
| DEF | Gvardiol, Davis, van Ewijk |
| MID | Mbeumo, Rogers, Ødegaard, Groß |
| FWD | Haaland (C), Calvert-Lewin (VC), Barry |
Ordered bench: 1. Verbruggen (GKP) 2. Slater 3. Mitchell 4. Calafiori
What the gain covers
The 3.78-point gain spans the full four-GW horizon (GW9–GW12), not just GW9. It is the difference between the optimised plan objective (183.52) and the hold objective (179.74, which forbids transfers in GW9 only). The objectives include GW discounting, bench weighting and hit penalties (zero here), and exclude chip effects. Note the plan also contains provisional moves for GW10–GW12 — those are not actions to take now.
Chip decision: SAVE 💾
No valued chip is recommended for GW9 — the projected schedule favours later opportunities (Bench Boost ~GW15, Triple Captain ~GW16, Free Hit ~GW14, all provisional). Wildcard remains unassessed.
Recommendations only — no transfers or chips have been executed.
Run
- Status
- completed
- Target gameweek
- GW9
- Model
- kimi-k3:cloud
- Temperature
- 1
- Model calls
- 2 of 4
- Tool calls
- 2
- Latency
- 21.1 s
- Tokens
- 6,020 in · 1,618 out
- Snapshot ID
- 20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty
Checks
-
Tool selectionpass
-
Argumentspass
-
Numberspass
-
Teamspass
-
Safetyn/a
Tool calls
1 get_recommendationcompleted
{
"horizon": 4,
"max_hits": 0,
"model": "full",
"threshold": 2
}
Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, model, actual_gws, threshold, allowed_hits, plan_objective, hold_objective, gain, make_transfers, players, selected_gw_plans, chip_decision, assumptions. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"model": "full",
"actual_gws": [
9,
10,
11,
12
],
"threshold": 2.0,
"allowed_hits": 0,
"plan_objective": 183.5197415136506,
"hold_objective": 179.73781057376831,
"gain": 3.7819309398822725,
"make_transfers": true,
"players": [
{
"element_id": 1,
"player_name": "Raya",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Arsenal",
"current_price": 62,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 4,
"player_name": "Gabriel",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Arsenal",
"current_price": 79,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 8,
"player_name": "Calafiori",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Arsenal",
"current_price": 60,
"status": "d",
"news": "Hip injury - 75% chance of playing"
},
{
"element_id": 15,
"player_name": "Ødegaard",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Arsenal",
"current_price": 67,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 40,
"player_name": "Rogers",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Chelsea",
"current_price": 80,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 109,
"player_name": "Verbruggen",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Brighton",
"current_price": 46,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 124,
"player_name": "Groß",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Brighton",
"current_price": 62,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 165,
"player_name": "João Pedro",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Chelsea",
"current_price": 78,
"status": "i",
"news": "Thigh injury - Unknown return date"
},
{
"element_id": 175,
"player_name": "van Ewijk",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Coventry City",
"current_price": 39,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 204,
"player_name": "Mitchell",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Crystal Palace",
"current_price": 45,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 249,
"player_name": "Barry",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Everton",
"current_price": 56,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 290,
"player_name": "Slater",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Hull City",
"current_price": 45,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 305,
"player_name": "Davis",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Ipswich Town",
"current_price": 40,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 346,
"player_name": "Calvert-Lewin",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Leeds",
"current_price": 61,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 391,
"player_name": "Gvardiol",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Man City",
"current_price": 57,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 411,
"player_name": "Haaland",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Man City",
"current_price": 158,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 426,
"player_name": "B.Fernandes",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Man Utd",
"current_price": 117,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 427,
"player_name": "Mbeumo",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Man Utd",
"current_price": 79,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 497,
"player_name": "Dubravka",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Spurs",
"current_price": 40,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 504,
"player_name": "Vuskovic",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Brighton",
"current_price": 52,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 588,
"player_name": "Khalaili",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Crystal Palace",
"current_price": 50,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
}
],
"selected_gw_plans": [
{
"gw": 9,
"buys": [
1,
249,
427
],
"sells": [
165,
426,
497
],
"team_xi": [
1,
391,
305,
175,
427,
40,
15,
124,
411,
346,
249
],
"ordered_bench": [
109,
290,
204,
8
],
"captain": 411,
"vice_captain": 346,
"hits": 0,
"expected_points": 48.63147285717917
},
{
"gw": 10,
"buys": [
4
],
"sells": [
8
],
"team_xi": [
1,
4,
391,
305,
427,
15,
124,
40,
411,
249,
346
],
"ordered_bench": [
109,
204,
175,
290
],
"captain": 4,
"vice_captain": 411,
"hits": 0,
"expected_points": 54.33913067489811
},
{
"gw": 11,
"buys": [
504
],
"sells": [
175
],
"team_xi": [
109,
504,
4,
391,
427,
124,
15,
40,
411,
249,
346
],
"ordered_bench": [
1,
204,
305,
290
],
"captain": 411,
"vice_captain": 504,
"hits": 0,
"expected_points": 52.527488723258564
},
{
"gw": 12,
"buys": [
588
],
"sells": [
391
],
"team_xi": [
1,
588,
504,
4,
204,
427,
124,
15,
346,
249,
411
],
"ordered_bench": [
109,
305,
40,
290
],
"captain": 346,
"vice_captain": 588,
"hits": 0,
"expected_points": 51.41064998778977
}
],
"chip_decision": {
"action": "save",
"chip": null,
"reason": "Save the valued chips this GW; the projected schedule favours later opportunities. Wildcard remains unassessed.",
"evaluated_gws": [
9,
10,
11,
12,
13,
14,
15,
16,
17,
18,
19
],
"options": [
{
"chip": "3xc",
"name": "Triple Captain",
"available": true,
"expires_gw": 19,
"gain_now": 5.880235614972674,
"best_gw": 16,
"best_gain": 6.979466340507839,
"planned_gw": 16,
"planned_gain": 6.979466340507839,
"reason": "Timing uses fixed-squad projected gains."
},
{
"chip": "bboost",
"name": "Bench Boost",
"available": true,
"expires_gw": 19,
"gain_now": 10.2891637800231,
"best_gw": 15,
"best_gain": 11.89126134533826,
"planned_gw": 15,
"planned_gain": 11.89126134533826,
"reason": "Timing uses fixed-squad projected gains."
},
{
"chip": "freehit",
"name": "Free Hit",
"available": true,
"expires_gw": 19,
"gain_now": 4.876200619944754,
"best_gw": 14,
"best_gain": 7.693129700215991,
"planned_gw": 14,
"planned_gain": 7.693129700215991,
"reason": "Free Hit needs transfer-plan review."
},
{
"chip": "wildcard",
"name": "Wildcard",
"available": true,
"expires_gw": 19,
"gain_now": null,
"best_gw": null,
"best_gain": null,
"planned_gw": null,
"planned_gain": null,
"reason": "Manual review: Wildcard is not valued."
}
],
"assumptions": [
"Uses the selected first-GW squad unchanged in future GWs; rerun after transfers or team news.",
"Uses current availability and minutes estimates; future injury recovery is not forecast.",
"Schedules at most one valued chip per GW within its availability window.",
"Wildcard is not valued. Free Hit requires review because it changes and then restores the squad.",
"Starting-XI EP and the transfer objective exclude chip effects; gains are reported separately."
]
},
"assumptions": [
"Uses frozen prices, squad and projections; no transfer is executed.",
"The hold plan forbids transfers in the first GW only.",
"Objectives include GW discounting, bench weighting and hit penalties.",
"Later GW transfers are provisional plans, not actions to take now."
]
}
2 get_my_teamcompleted
{}
Result fields: snapshot_id, snapshot_created_at, season, target_gw, deadline, team_name, based_on_gw, bank_in_tenths, free_transfers, available_chips, used_chips, squad_players. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"snapshot_created_at": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"deadline": "2026-10-31T11:00:00Z",
"team_name": "[team name]",
"based_on_gw": 8,
"bank_in_tenths": 11,
"free_transfers": 3,
"available_chips": [
"wildcard (until GW19)",
"freehit (until GW19)",
"bboost (until GW19)",
"3xc (until GW19)"
],
"used_chips": [],
"squad_players": [
{
"element_id": 109,
"player_name": "Verbruggen",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Brighton",
"purchase_price": 45,
"current_price": 46,
"selling_price": 45,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 391,
"player_name": "Gvardiol",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Man City",
"purchase_price": 55,
"current_price": 57,
"selling_price": 56,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 8,
"player_name": "Calafiori",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Arsenal",
"purchase_price": 58,
"current_price": 60,
"selling_price": 59,
"status": "d",
"news": "Hip injury - 75% chance of playing"
},
{
"element_id": 175,
"player_name": "van Ewijk",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Coventry City",
"purchase_price": 40,
"current_price": 39,
"selling_price": 39,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 204,
"player_name": "Mitchell",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Crystal Palace",
"purchase_price": 45,
"current_price": 45,
"selling_price": 45,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 15,
"player_name": "Ødegaard",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Arsenal",
"purchase_price": 67,
"current_price": 67,
"selling_price": 67,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 40,
"player_name": "Rogers",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Chelsea",
"purchase_price": 77,
"current_price": 80,
"selling_price": 78,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 124,
"player_name": "Groß",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Brighton",
"purchase_price": 61,
"current_price": 62,
"selling_price": 61,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 290,
"player_name": "Slater",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Hull City",
"purchase_price": 45,
"current_price": 45,
"selling_price": 45,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 411,
"player_name": "Haaland",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Man City",
"purchase_price": 155,
"current_price": 158,
"selling_price": 156,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 346,
"player_name": "Calvert-Lewin",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Leeds",
"purchase_price": 60,
"current_price": 61,
"selling_price": 60,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 497,
"player_name": "Dubravka",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Spurs",
"purchase_price": 40,
"current_price": 40,
"selling_price": 40,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 426,
"player_name": "B.Fernandes",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Man Utd",
"purchase_price": 120,
"current_price": 117,
"selling_price": 117,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 165,
"player_name": "João Pedro",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Chelsea",
"purchase_price": 75,
"current_price": 78,
"selling_price": 76,
"status": "i",
"news": "Thigh injury - Unknown return date"
},
{
"element_id": 305,
"player_name": "Davis",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Ipswich Town",
"purchase_price": 40,
"current_price": 40,
"selling_price": 40,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
}
]
}