Pilot model
glm-5.3:cloud · temp 0
Snapshot
GW9 · 28 Oct, 21:26

Question

Check the chip-value tool using the full model for GW9 only. Can it calculate the expected points gain from playing my Wildcard?

Answer

completed trace d7ce7bd8

Short answer: No — the Wildcard has no value in the tool output.

Snapshot: 20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty, season 2026-27, target GW9 (deadline 2026-10-31 11:00 UTC). Model: full, horizon: 1 GW.

What the chip-value tool returned for GW9

Chip GW9 projected gain
Your current XI 45.61 pts (baseline)
Triple Captain +5.88
Bench Boost +5.24
Free Hit +7.90

There is no wildcard entry in the values list, and best_gws likewise only names triple_captain, bench_boost and free_hit.

Why

The tool models chips that can be evaluated against a fixed squad. A Wildcard's gain is not a fixed number — it depends entirely on which transfers you make with it — so it is deliberately excluded from the chip-value calculation rather than estimated at zero.

The recommendation tool confirms this: chip_decision.options lists Wildcard with gain_now: null, best_gw: null, best_gain: null, and the reason "Manual review: Wildcard is not valued." The chip decision is action: save — "Save the valued chips this GW; the projected schedule favours later opportunities. Wildcard remains unassessed."

Closest usable proxy

The Free Hit figure (+7.90) is the only number here that reflects what re-shaping your squad is worth in GW9, since a Free Hit also requires transfers. But it's not a Wildcard estimate — a Wildcard is permanent, so its value is the run of gains across multiple GWs, not a single-week delta. Treat the +7.90 as indicative only.

Other relevant context from the same snapshot

  • Transfers are still worth making for GW9: make_transfers: true, with a projected gain of +4.96 over holding (threshold 2.00). Plan: buy Kelleher, Thiago and Van Hecke; sell Calafiori, João Pedro and Dubravka. Captain Haaland, vice-captain Thiago.
  • Chips flagged for later: Bench Boost → GW11 (+12.33), Free Hit → GW14 (+10.29), Triple Captain → GW16 (+6.98). All remain available until GW19.
  • Note a small inconsistency between tools: the chip-value tool puts GW9 Bench Boost at +5.24, while the recommendation's chip decision shows gain_now 11.18 for Bench Boost. These are computed on different squad assumptions (the recommendation applies the planned transfers), so don't add them together.

If you want a Wildcard-specific view, the practical route is to run the recommendation with the Wildcard change made as ordinary transfers and compare the resulting squad's projected points against the 45.61 baseline — the tools won't do that for you directly.

Run

Status
completed
Target gameweek
GW9
Model
minimax-m3.1-flash:cloud
Temperature
0
Model calls
3 of 4
Tool calls
3
Latency
11.6 s
Tokens
9,603 in · 1,316 out
Snapshot ID
20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty

Checks

  • Tool selectionpass
  • Argumentspass
  • Numberspass
  • Teamsn/a
  • Safetyn/a

Tool calls

1  get_chip_valuescompleted
{
  "horizon": 1,
  "model": "full"
}
Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, model, values, best_gws, available_chips, assumptions. Show full result
{
  "snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
  "as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
  "season": "2026-27",
  "target_gw": 9,
  "model": "full",
  "values": [
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "your_xi": 45.60745605684265,
      "triple_captain": 5.880235614972674,
      "bench_boost": 5.236402849718311,
      "free_hit": 7.9002174202812725
    }
  ],
  "best_gws": {
    "triple_captain": 9,
    "bench_boost": 9,
    "free_hit": 9
  },
  "available_chips": [
    "wildcard (until GW19)",
    "freehit (until GW19)",
    "bboost (until GW19)",
    "3xc (until GW19)"
  ],
  "assumptions": [
    "Uses the current frozen squad in every GW; future transfers are not planned.",
    "Values are hypothetical gains even for chips that are no longer available.",
    "The existing optimiser includes its default bench weight in squad selection.",
    "For equal chip values, best_gws selects the earliest GW."
  ]
}
2  get_my_teamcompleted
{}
Result fields: snapshot_id, snapshot_created_at, season, target_gw, deadline, team_name, based_on_gw, bank_in_tenths, free_transfers, available_chips, used_chips, squad_players. Show full result
{
  "snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
  "snapshot_created_at": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
  "season": "2026-27",
  "target_gw": 9,
  "deadline": "2026-10-31T11:00:00Z",
  "team_name": "[team name]",
  "based_on_gw": 8,
  "bank_in_tenths": 11,
  "free_transfers": 3,
  "available_chips": [
    "wildcard (until GW19)",
    "freehit (until GW19)",
    "bboost (until GW19)",
    "3xc (until GW19)"
  ],
  "used_chips": [],
  "squad_players": [
    {
      "element_id": 109,
      "player_name": "Verbruggen",
      "position": "GKP",
      "club": "Brighton",
      "purchase_price": 45,
      "current_price": 46,
      "selling_price": 45,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 391,
      "player_name": "Gvardiol",
      "position": "DEF",
      "club": "Man City",
      "purchase_price": 55,
      "current_price": 57,
      "selling_price": 56,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 8,
      "player_name": "Calafiori",
      "position": "DEF",
      "club": "Arsenal",
      "purchase_price": 58,
      "current_price": 60,
      "selling_price": 59,
      "status": "d",
      "news": "Hip injury - 75% chance of playing"
    },
    {
      "element_id": 175,
      "player_name": "van Ewijk",
      "position": "DEF",
      "club": "Coventry City",
      "purchase_price": 40,
      "current_price": 39,
      "selling_price": 39,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 204,
      "player_name": "Mitchell",
      "position": "DEF",
      "club": "Crystal Palace",
      "purchase_price": 45,
      "current_price": 45,
      "selling_price": 45,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 15,
      "player_name": "Ødegaard",
      "position": "MID",
      "club": "Arsenal",
      "purchase_price": 67,
      "current_price": 67,
      "selling_price": 67,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 40,
      "player_name": "Rogers",
      "position": "MID",
      "club": "Chelsea",
      "purchase_price": 77,
      "current_price": 80,
      "selling_price": 78,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 124,
      "player_name": "Groß",
      "position": "MID",
      "club": "Brighton",
      "purchase_price": 61,
      "current_price": 62,
      "selling_price": 61,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 290,
      "player_name": "Slater",
      "position": "MID",
      "club": "Hull City",
      "purchase_price": 45,
      "current_price": 45,
      "selling_price": 45,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 411,
      "player_name": "Haaland",
      "position": "FWD",
      "club": "Man City",
      "purchase_price": 155,
      "current_price": 158,
      "selling_price": 156,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 346,
      "player_name": "Calvert-Lewin",
      "position": "FWD",
      "club": "Leeds",
      "purchase_price": 60,
      "current_price": 61,
      "selling_price": 60,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 497,
      "player_name": "Dubravka",
      "position": "GKP",
      "club": "Spurs",
      "purchase_price": 40,
      "current_price": 40,
      "selling_price": 40,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 426,
      "player_name": "B.Fernandes",
      "position": "MID",
      "club": "Man Utd",
      "purchase_price": 120,
      "current_price": 117,
      "selling_price": 117,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 165,
      "player_name": "João Pedro",
      "position": "FWD",
      "club": "Chelsea",
      "purchase_price": 75,
      "current_price": 78,
      "selling_price": 76,
      "status": "i",
      "news": "Thigh injury - Unknown return date"
    },
    {
      "element_id": 305,
      "player_name": "Davis",
      "position": "DEF",
      "club": "Ipswich Town",
      "purchase_price": 40,
      "current_price": 40,
      "selling_price": 40,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    }
  ]
}
3  get_recommendationcompleted
{
  "horizon": 1,
  "model": "full"
}
Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, model, actual_gws, threshold, allowed_hits, plan_objective, hold_objective, gain, make_transfers, players, selected_gw_plans, chip_decision, assumptions. Show full result
{
  "snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
  "as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
  "season": "2026-27",
  "target_gw": 9,
  "model": "full",
  "actual_gws": [
    9
  ],
  "threshold": 2.0,
  "allowed_hits": 0,
  "plan_objective": 51.348163234287625,
  "hold_objective": 46.3929164843004,
  "gain": 4.955246749987225,
  "make_transfers": true,
  "players": [
    {
      "element_id": 8,
      "player_name": "Calafiori",
      "position": "DEF",
      "club": "Arsenal",
      "current_price": 60,
      "status": "d",
      "news": "Hip injury - 75% chance of playing"
    },
    {
      "element_id": 15,
      "player_name": "Ødegaard",
      "position": "MID",
      "club": "Arsenal",
      "current_price": 67,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 40,
      "player_name": "Rogers",
      "position": "MID",
      "club": "Chelsea",
      "current_price": 80,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 82,
      "player_name": "Kelleher",
      "position": "GKP",
      "club": "Brentford",
      "current_price": 50,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 106,
      "player_name": "Thiago",
      "position": "FWD",
      "club": "Brentford",
      "current_price": 78,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 109,
      "player_name": "Verbruggen",
      "position": "GKP",
      "club": "Brighton",
      "current_price": 46,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 112,
      "player_name": "Van Hecke",
      "position": "DEF",
      "club": "Spurs",
      "current_price": 49,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 124,
      "player_name": "Groß",
      "position": "MID",
      "club": "Brighton",
      "current_price": 62,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 165,
      "player_name": "João Pedro",
      "position": "FWD",
      "club": "Chelsea",
      "current_price": 78,
      "status": "i",
      "news": "Thigh injury - Unknown return date"
    },
    {
      "element_id": 175,
      "player_name": "van Ewijk",
      "position": "DEF",
      "club": "Coventry City",
      "current_price": 39,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 204,
      "player_name": "Mitchell",
      "position": "DEF",
      "club": "Crystal Palace",
      "current_price": 45,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 290,
      "player_name": "Slater",
      "position": "MID",
      "club": "Hull City",
      "current_price": 45,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 305,
      "player_name": "Davis",
      "position": "DEF",
      "club": "Ipswich Town",
      "current_price": 40,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 346,
      "player_name": "Calvert-Lewin",
      "position": "FWD",
      "club": "Leeds",
      "current_price": 61,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 391,
      "player_name": "Gvardiol",
      "position": "DEF",
      "club": "Man City",
      "current_price": 57,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 411,
      "player_name": "Haaland",
      "position": "FWD",
      "club": "Man City",
      "current_price": 158,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 426,
      "player_name": "B.Fernandes",
      "position": "MID",
      "club": "Man Utd",
      "current_price": 117,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    },
    {
      "element_id": 497,
      "player_name": "Dubravka",
      "position": "GKP",
      "club": "Spurs",
      "current_price": 40,
      "status": "a",
      "news": ""
    }
  ],
  "selected_gw_plans": [
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "buys": [
        82,
        106,
        112
      ],
      "sells": [
        8,
        165,
        497
      ],
      "team_xi": [
        82,
        112,
        391,
        305,
        175,
        40,
        15,
        426,
        411,
        106,
        346
      ],
      "ordered_bench": [
        109,
        124,
        290,
        204
      ],
      "captain": 411,
      "vice_captain": 106,
      "hits": 0,
      "expected_points": 49.67157941266016
    }
  ],
  "chip_decision": {
    "action": "save",
    "chip": null,
    "reason": "Save the valued chips this GW; the projected schedule favours later opportunities. Wildcard remains unassessed.",
    "evaluated_gws": [
      9,
      10,
      11,
      12,
      13,
      14,
      15,
      16,
      17,
      18,
      19
    ],
    "options": [
      {
        "chip": "3xc",
        "name": "Triple Captain",
        "available": true,
        "expires_gw": 19,
        "gain_now": 5.880235614972674,
        "best_gw": 16,
        "best_gain": 6.979466340507839,
        "planned_gw": 16,
        "planned_gain": 6.979466340507839,
        "reason": "Timing uses fixed-squad projected gains."
      },
      {
        "chip": "bboost",
        "name": "Bench Boost",
        "available": true,
        "expires_gw": 19,
        "gain_now": 11.1772254775165,
        "best_gw": 11,
        "best_gain": 12.325201367714353,
        "planned_gw": 11,
        "planned_gain": 12.325201367714353,
        "reason": "Timing uses fixed-squad projected gains."
      },
      {
        "chip": "freehit",
        "name": "Free Hit",
        "available": true,
        "expires_gw": 19,
        "gain_now": 3.836094064463765,
        "best_gw": 14,
        "best_gain": 10.285504231578045,
        "planned_gw": 14,
        "planned_gain": 10.285504231578045,
        "reason": "Free Hit needs transfer-plan review."
      },
      {
        "chip": "wildcard",
        "name": "Wildcard",
        "available": true,
        "expires_gw": 19,
        "gain_now": null,
        "best_gw": null,
        "best_gain": null,
        "planned_gw": null,
        "planned_gain": null,
        "reason": "Manual review: Wildcard is not valued."
      }
    ],
    "assumptions": [
      "Uses the selected first-GW squad unchanged in future GWs; rerun after transfers or team news.",
      "Uses current availability and minutes estimates; future injury recovery is not forecast.",
      "Schedules at most one valued chip per GW within its availability window.",
      "Wildcard is not valued. Free Hit requires review because it changes and then restores the squad.",
      "Starting-XI EP and the transfer objective exclude chip effects; gains are reported separately."
    ]
  },
  "assumptions": [
    "Uses frozen prices, squad and projections; no transfer is executed.",
    "The hold plan forbids transfers in the first GW only.",
    "Objectives include GW discounting, bench weighting and hit penalties.",
    "Later GW transfers are provisional plans, not actions to take now."
  ]
}