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Answer
Asked during eval run step19-smoke-minimax-m3-1-flash-cloud · case fixture-outlook · snapshot GW9
Question
Arsenal has team ID 1. Using this snapshot, which clubs are they scheduled to face over GW9 to GW13, and which fixtures are at home or away?
Answer
completed trace 353e99f7Arsenal fixtures, GW9–GW13 (snapshot as of 28 Oct 2026, target GW 9)
| GW | Opponent | Venue |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Liverpool | Away |
| 10 | Hull City | Home |
| 11 | Newcastle | Away |
| 12 | Man City | Home |
| 13 | Brentford | Away |
Supporting estimates from the tool (ratings-based, not guarantees):
- GW9 vs Liverpool (A) – xG for 1.53, xG against 1.26, clean-sheet probability ~28%
- GW10 vs Hull City (H) – xG for 2.43, xG against 0.65, clean-sheet probability ~52% — the most favourable attacking fixture of the run
- GW11 vs Newcastle (A) – xG for 1.72, xG against 1.08, clean-sheet probability ~34%
- GW12 vs Man City (H) – xG for 1.60, xG against 1.16, clean-sheet probability ~31% — toughest defensive test
- GW13 vs Brentford (A) – xG for 1.59, xG against 1.11, clean-sheet probability ~33%
Note the run is front-loaded with three away games (GW9, 11, 13) and only two at home, with the two strongest home sides in the set being Hull City and Man City. These are model projections from the frozen snapshot, not observed results.
Run
- Status
- completed
- Target gameweek
- GW9
- Model
- minimax-m3.1-flash:cloud
- Temperature
- 0
- Model calls
- 2 of 4
- Tool calls
- 1
- Latency
- 3.7 s
- Tokens
- 4,439 in · 404 out
- Snapshot ID
- 20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty
Checks
-
Tool selectionpass
-
Argumentspass
-
Numberspass
-
Teamsn/a
-
Safetyn/a
Tool calls
1 get_fixture_outlookcompleted
{
"team_id": 1,
"horizon": 5
}
Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, team_id, club, gws, fixtures. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"team_id": 1,
"club": "Arsenal",
"gws": [
9,
10,
11,
12,
13
],
"fixtures": [
{
"fixture_id": 87,
"gw": 9,
"opponent_id": 14,
"opponent": "Liverpool",
"home": false,
"expected_goals_for": 1.5284674019540587,
"expected_goals_against": 1.2600585245005635,
"clean_sheet_probability": 0.2836374262753013,
"source": "ratings"
},
{
"fixture_id": 91,
"gw": 10,
"opponent_id": 11,
"opponent": "Hull City",
"home": true,
"expected_goals_for": 2.426491869250047,
"expected_goals_against": 0.654349210028379,
"clean_sheet_probability": 0.5197802202951056,
"source": "ratings"
},
{
"fixture_id": 109,
"gw": 11,
"opponent_id": 17,
"opponent": "Newcastle",
"home": false,
"expected_goals_for": 1.723289688486241,
"expected_goals_against": 1.083427463609518,
"clean_sheet_probability": 0.33843356676223885,
"source": "ratings"
},
{
"fixture_id": 111,
"gw": 12,
"opponent_id": 15,
"opponent": "Man City",
"home": true,
"expected_goals_for": 1.597800043629845,
"expected_goals_against": 1.15918827907376,
"clean_sheet_probability": 0.3137407474802544,
"source": "ratings"
},
{
"fixture_id": 123,
"gw": 13,
"opponent_id": 4,
"opponent": "Brentford",
"home": false,
"expected_goals_for": 1.5939601704195867,
"expected_goals_against": 1.1133266110246973,
"clean_sheet_probability": 0.328464468087544,
"source": "ratings"
}
]
}