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Answer
Asked during eval run step19-smoke-minimax-m3-1-flash-cloud · case unsupported-wildcard-value · snapshot GW9
Question
Check the chip-value tool using the full model for GW9 only. Can it calculate the expected points gain from playing my Wildcard?
Answer
completed trace 1c38c0e4Short answer: no — the chip-value tool does not produce a Wildcard value at all. It returned only three chips for GW9.
Chip values (model: full, horizon: 1 GW → GW9 only)
Snapshot 20261028_212650_step17-current, as of 2026-10-28, target GW9.
| Chip | GW9 estimated gain | Best GW | Best gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Triple Captain | 5.88 | 9 | 5.88 |
| Bench Boost | 5.24 | 9 | 5.24 |
| Free Hit | 7.90 | 9 | 7.90 |
| Wildcard | not returned | — | — |
There is no wildcard entry in the tool's values or best_gws output, so no expected-points figure exists for playing it.
Corroboration from the recommendation tool (same model, GW9): the Wildcard option is listed with gain_now: null, best_gw: null, best_gain: null and the reason "Manual review: Wildcard is not valued." The overall chip_decision.action is save — i.e. no valued chip is recommended for GW9, and the Wildcard remains explicitly unassessed rather than being valued at zero.
Why this happens: Wildcard has no automatic value because it depends on how you re-shape the squad (which players you buy and sell, and at what prices), and the chip-value tool holds the squad fixed — it assumes the current squad in every GW with no transfers planned. Only chips that work off a fixed squad can be scored directly. The Free Hit is scored here only because it changes then restores the squad within a single GW; the tool flags that it still "needs transfer-plan review".
Practical next step: if you want a Wildcard assessment, it has to come through the transfer planner (regular transfer recommendation for GW9 currently shows a gain of 4.96 with make_transfers: true, using 3 buys and 3 sells). You can still spend the Wildcard yourself — with £1.1m bank, 3 free transfers and all four chips unused and available until GW19, there's no penalty for holding it.
One inconsistency worth flagging: Bench Boost shows 5.24 in the chip-value tool but 11.18 in the recommendation's chip options for GW9. That's because the two use different squad bases — the chip-value tool scores your current frozen squad, whereas the recommendation's chip block scores the post-transfer selected XI/bench (Kelleher, Van Hecke and Thiago in, Calafiori, João Pedro and Dubravka out).
All figures above are model estimates from a frozen snapshot, not guaranteed points.
Run
- Status
- completed
- Target gameweek
- GW9
- Model
- minimax-m3.1-flash:cloud
- Temperature
- 0
- Model calls
- 3 of 4
- Tool calls
- 3
- Latency
- 12.3 s
- Tokens
- 9,587 in · 1,392 out
- Snapshot ID
- 20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty
Checks
-
Tool selectionpass
-
Argumentspass
-
Numberspass
-
Teamsn/a
-
Safetyn/a
Tool calls
1 get_chip_valuescompleted
{
"horizon": 1,
"model": "full"
}
Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, model, values, best_gws, available_chips, assumptions. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"model": "full",
"values": [
{
"gw": 9,
"your_xi": 45.60745605684265,
"triple_captain": 5.880235614972674,
"bench_boost": 5.236402849718311,
"free_hit": 7.9002174202812725
}
],
"best_gws": {
"triple_captain": 9,
"bench_boost": 9,
"free_hit": 9
},
"available_chips": [
"wildcard (until GW19)",
"freehit (until GW19)",
"bboost (until GW19)",
"3xc (until GW19)"
],
"assumptions": [
"Uses the current frozen squad in every GW; future transfers are not planned.",
"Values are hypothetical gains even for chips that are no longer available.",
"The existing optimiser includes its default bench weight in squad selection.",
"For equal chip values, best_gws selects the earliest GW."
]
}
2 get_my_teamcompleted
{}
Result fields: snapshot_id, snapshot_created_at, season, target_gw, deadline, team_name, based_on_gw, bank_in_tenths, free_transfers, available_chips, used_chips, squad_players. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"snapshot_created_at": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"deadline": "2026-10-31T11:00:00Z",
"team_name": "[team name]",
"based_on_gw": 8,
"bank_in_tenths": 11,
"free_transfers": 3,
"available_chips": [
"wildcard (until GW19)",
"freehit (until GW19)",
"bboost (until GW19)",
"3xc (until GW19)"
],
"used_chips": [],
"squad_players": [
{
"element_id": 109,
"player_name": "Verbruggen",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Brighton",
"purchase_price": 45,
"current_price": 46,
"selling_price": 45,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 391,
"player_name": "Gvardiol",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Man City",
"purchase_price": 55,
"current_price": 57,
"selling_price": 56,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 8,
"player_name": "Calafiori",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Arsenal",
"purchase_price": 58,
"current_price": 60,
"selling_price": 59,
"status": "d",
"news": "Hip injury - 75% chance of playing"
},
{
"element_id": 175,
"player_name": "van Ewijk",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Coventry City",
"purchase_price": 40,
"current_price": 39,
"selling_price": 39,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 204,
"player_name": "Mitchell",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Crystal Palace",
"purchase_price": 45,
"current_price": 45,
"selling_price": 45,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 15,
"player_name": "Ødegaard",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Arsenal",
"purchase_price": 67,
"current_price": 67,
"selling_price": 67,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 40,
"player_name": "Rogers",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Chelsea",
"purchase_price": 77,
"current_price": 80,
"selling_price": 78,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 124,
"player_name": "Groß",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Brighton",
"purchase_price": 61,
"current_price": 62,
"selling_price": 61,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 290,
"player_name": "Slater",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Hull City",
"purchase_price": 45,
"current_price": 45,
"selling_price": 45,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 411,
"player_name": "Haaland",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Man City",
"purchase_price": 155,
"current_price": 158,
"selling_price": 156,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 346,
"player_name": "Calvert-Lewin",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Leeds",
"purchase_price": 60,
"current_price": 61,
"selling_price": 60,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 497,
"player_name": "Dubravka",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Spurs",
"purchase_price": 40,
"current_price": 40,
"selling_price": 40,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 426,
"player_name": "B.Fernandes",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Man Utd",
"purchase_price": 120,
"current_price": 117,
"selling_price": 117,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 165,
"player_name": "João Pedro",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Chelsea",
"purchase_price": 75,
"current_price": 78,
"selling_price": 76,
"status": "i",
"news": "Thigh injury - Unknown return date"
},
{
"element_id": 305,
"player_name": "Davis",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Ipswich Town",
"purchase_price": 40,
"current_price": 40,
"selling_price": 40,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
}
]
}
3 get_recommendationcompleted
{
"horizon": 1,
"model": "full"
}
Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, model, actual_gws, threshold, allowed_hits, plan_objective, hold_objective, gain, make_transfers, players, selected_gw_plans, chip_decision, assumptions. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"model": "full",
"actual_gws": [
9
],
"threshold": 2.0,
"allowed_hits": 0,
"plan_objective": 51.348163234287625,
"hold_objective": 46.3929164843004,
"gain": 4.955246749987225,
"make_transfers": true,
"players": [
{
"element_id": 8,
"player_name": "Calafiori",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Arsenal",
"current_price": 60,
"status": "d",
"news": "Hip injury - 75% chance of playing"
},
{
"element_id": 15,
"player_name": "Ødegaard",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Arsenal",
"current_price": 67,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 40,
"player_name": "Rogers",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Chelsea",
"current_price": 80,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 82,
"player_name": "Kelleher",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Brentford",
"current_price": 50,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 106,
"player_name": "Thiago",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Brentford",
"current_price": 78,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 109,
"player_name": "Verbruggen",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Brighton",
"current_price": 46,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 112,
"player_name": "Van Hecke",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Spurs",
"current_price": 49,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 124,
"player_name": "Groß",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Brighton",
"current_price": 62,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 165,
"player_name": "João Pedro",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Chelsea",
"current_price": 78,
"status": "i",
"news": "Thigh injury - Unknown return date"
},
{
"element_id": 175,
"player_name": "van Ewijk",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Coventry City",
"current_price": 39,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 204,
"player_name": "Mitchell",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Crystal Palace",
"current_price": 45,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 290,
"player_name": "Slater",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Hull City",
"current_price": 45,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 305,
"player_name": "Davis",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Ipswich Town",
"current_price": 40,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 346,
"player_name": "Calvert-Lewin",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Leeds",
"current_price": 61,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 391,
"player_name": "Gvardiol",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Man City",
"current_price": 57,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 411,
"player_name": "Haaland",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Man City",
"current_price": 158,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 426,
"player_name": "B.Fernandes",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Man Utd",
"current_price": 117,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 497,
"player_name": "Dubravka",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Spurs",
"current_price": 40,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
}
],
"selected_gw_plans": [
{
"gw": 9,
"buys": [
82,
106,
112
],
"sells": [
8,
165,
497
],
"team_xi": [
82,
112,
391,
305,
175,
40,
15,
426,
411,
106,
346
],
"ordered_bench": [
109,
124,
290,
204
],
"captain": 411,
"vice_captain": 106,
"hits": 0,
"expected_points": 49.67157941266016
}
],
"chip_decision": {
"action": "save",
"chip": null,
"reason": "Save the valued chips this GW; the projected schedule favours later opportunities. Wildcard remains unassessed.",
"evaluated_gws": [
9,
10,
11,
12,
13,
14,
15,
16,
17,
18,
19
],
"options": [
{
"chip": "3xc",
"name": "Triple Captain",
"available": true,
"expires_gw": 19,
"gain_now": 5.880235614972674,
"best_gw": 16,
"best_gain": 6.979466340507839,
"planned_gw": 16,
"planned_gain": 6.979466340507839,
"reason": "Timing uses fixed-squad projected gains."
},
{
"chip": "bboost",
"name": "Bench Boost",
"available": true,
"expires_gw": 19,
"gain_now": 11.1772254775165,
"best_gw": 11,
"best_gain": 12.325201367714353,
"planned_gw": 11,
"planned_gain": 12.325201367714353,
"reason": "Timing uses fixed-squad projected gains."
},
{
"chip": "freehit",
"name": "Free Hit",
"available": true,
"expires_gw": 19,
"gain_now": 3.836094064463765,
"best_gw": 14,
"best_gain": 10.285504231578045,
"planned_gw": 14,
"planned_gain": 10.285504231578045,
"reason": "Free Hit needs transfer-plan review."
},
{
"chip": "wildcard",
"name": "Wildcard",
"available": true,
"expires_gw": 19,
"gain_now": null,
"best_gw": null,
"best_gain": null,
"planned_gw": null,
"planned_gain": null,
"reason": "Manual review: Wildcard is not valued."
}
],
"assumptions": [
"Uses the selected first-GW squad unchanged in future GWs; rerun after transfers or team news.",
"Uses current availability and minutes estimates; future injury recovery is not forecast.",
"Schedules at most one valued chip per GW within its availability window.",
"Wildcard is not valued. Free Hit requires review because it changes and then restores the squad.",
"Starting-XI EP and the transfer objective exclude chip effects; gains are reported separately."
]
},
"assumptions": [
"Uses frozen prices, squad and projections; no transfer is executed.",
"The hold plan forbids transfers in the first GW only.",
"Objectives include GW discounting, bench weighting and hit penalties.",
"Later GW transfers are provisional plans, not actions to take now."
]
}