Answer
Asked during eval run step19c-gpt-oss-120b-cloud-t0-r1 · case projection-is-not-observed-points · snapshot GW9
Question
Use the full model for Haaland, element ID 411. Give his observed GW8 points and projected GW9 points. Is the GW9 figure an actual result or a guaranteed score? Retrieve one finished gameweek.
Answer
completed trace 8e10d439Snapshot – frozen on 2026‑10‑28 (target GW 9, model “full”).
| Player | GW 8 (observed) | GW 9 (model projection) |
|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland (element ID 411) | 8.0 points (1 goal, 90 min) | 5.88 expected points |
The GW 9 figure is not an actual result and it is not guaranteed. It is the model’s estimate of how many points Haaland is likely to score in the upcoming gameweek, based on his recent form, fixtures and the “full” projection algorithm.
Example of a finished gameweek
From the same frozen snapshot, GW 7 is also completed:
- GW 7 – Haaland played 90 minutes, scored 2 goals and earned 13.0 points.
Thus, the only “real” numbers we have are the observed points from finished gameweeks (e.g., GW 7 = 13 pts, GW 8 = 8 pts). The GW 9 value is a forecast, not a confirmed score.
Run
- Status
- completed
- Target gameweek
- GW9
- Model
- gpt-oss:120b-cloud
- Temperature
- 0
- Model calls
- 2 of 4
- Tool calls
- 1
- Latency
- 4.1 s
- Tokens
- 2,988 in · 610 out
- Snapshot ID
- 20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty
Checks
-
Tool selectionpass
-
Argumentsfail
Mismatch for field 'history_gws' in get_player_summary (call 0): expected 1, got 8
-
Numberspass
-
Teamsn/a
-
Safetyn/a
Tool calls
{
"element_id": 411,
"history_gws": 8,
"model": "full"
}
Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, player, history, projection, model. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"player": {
"element_id": 411,
"player_name": "Haaland",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Man City",
"current_price": 158,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
"history": [
{
"gw": 1,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 2.0,
"goals_scored": 0.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
},
{
"gw": 2,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 13.0,
"goals_scored": 2.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
},
{
"gw": 3,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 9.0,
"goals_scored": 1.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 1.0
},
{
"gw": 4,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 9.0,
"goals_scored": 1.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 1.0
},
{
"gw": 5,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 6.0,
"goals_scored": 1.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
},
{
"gw": 6,
"minutes": 79.0,
"total_points": 6.0,
"goals_scored": 1.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 1.0
},
{
"gw": 7,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 13.0,
"goals_scored": 2.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
},
{
"gw": 8,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 8.0,
"goals_scored": 1.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
}
],
"projection": {
"gw": 9,
"expected_points": 5.880235614972674
},
"model": "full"
}