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Asked during eval run step19d-deepseek-v4-1-flash-cloud-t0-r2 · case recommendation-transfers-and-captain · snapshot GW9
Question
Using the full model over GW9 to GW12, with a 2-point transfer threshold and no hits allowed, should I transfer or hold for GW9? Give the gain, threshold, immediate buys and sells, starting XI, captain, vice-captain and ordered bench. Explain what period the gain covers.
Answer
completed trace 136dbb2bVerdict: make the transfers for GW9. The full-model plan gains 3.78 projected points against holding, above your 2.00 threshold, with 0 hits.
This uses the frozen snapshot dated 28 October 2026, targeting GW9 (deadline 31 October 2026).
Immediate GW9 transfers
- Buy: Raya (Arsenal), Barry (Everton), Mbeumo (Man Utd)
- Sell: João Pedro (Chelsea), B.Fernandes (Man Utd), Dubravka (Spurs)
You have 3 free transfers and £1.1m in the bank; the recommendation uses no hits.
GW9 starting XI
Raya; Gvardiol, Davis, van Ewijk, Mbeumo; Rogers, Ødegaard, Groß; Haaland, Calvert-Lewin, Barry
- Captain: Haaland
- Vice-captain: Calvert-Lewin
- Bench, in order: Verbruggen, Slater, Mitchell, Calafiori
Gain period
The 3.78 gain covers GW9–GW12 inclusive. It is the full-model difference between the proposed transfer plan and holding, across that whole horizon—not just GW9. Later transfers are provisional planning assumptions, not actions to take now.
Chip decision
Action: save. No valued chip is recommended now; the projected schedule favours later opportunities. Wildcard is unassessed. Free Hit would need transfer-plan review. Chip gains are separate from the figures above and are hypothetical estimates.
Run
- Status
- completed
- Target gameweek
- GW9
- Model
- deepseek-v4.1-flash:cloud
- Temperature
- 0
- Model calls
- 2 of 4
- Tool calls
- 2
- Latency
- 10.7 s
- Tokens
- 6,670 in · 1,848 out
- Snapshot ID
- 20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty
Checks
-
Tool selectionpass
-
Argumentspass
-
Numberspass
-
Teamspass
-
Safetyn/a
Tool calls
1 get_my_teamcompleted
{}
Result fields: snapshot_id, snapshot_created_at, season, target_gw, deadline, team_name, based_on_gw, bank_in_tenths, free_transfers, available_chips, used_chips, squad_players. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"snapshot_created_at": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"deadline": "2026-10-31T11:00:00Z",
"team_name": "[team name]",
"based_on_gw": 8,
"bank_in_tenths": 11,
"free_transfers": 3,
"available_chips": [
"wildcard (until GW19)",
"freehit (until GW19)",
"bboost (until GW19)",
"3xc (until GW19)"
],
"used_chips": [],
"squad_players": [
{
"element_id": 109,
"player_name": "Verbruggen",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Brighton",
"purchase_price": 45,
"current_price": 46,
"selling_price": 45,
"price_change_since_purchase": 1,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 391,
"player_name": "Gvardiol",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Man City",
"purchase_price": 55,
"current_price": 57,
"selling_price": 56,
"price_change_since_purchase": 2,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 8,
"player_name": "Calafiori",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Arsenal",
"purchase_price": 58,
"current_price": 60,
"selling_price": 59,
"price_change_since_purchase": 2,
"status": "d",
"news": "Hip injury - 75% chance of playing"
},
{
"element_id": 175,
"player_name": "van Ewijk",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Coventry City",
"purchase_price": 40,
"current_price": 39,
"selling_price": 39,
"price_change_since_purchase": -1,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 204,
"player_name": "Mitchell",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Crystal Palace",
"purchase_price": 45,
"current_price": 45,
"selling_price": 45,
"price_change_since_purchase": 0,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 15,
"player_name": "Ødegaard",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Arsenal",
"purchase_price": 67,
"current_price": 67,
"selling_price": 67,
"price_change_since_purchase": 0,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 40,
"player_name": "Rogers",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Chelsea",
"purchase_price": 77,
"current_price": 80,
"selling_price": 78,
"price_change_since_purchase": 3,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 124,
"player_name": "Groß",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Brighton",
"purchase_price": 61,
"current_price": 62,
"selling_price": 61,
"price_change_since_purchase": 1,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 290,
"player_name": "Slater",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Hull City",
"purchase_price": 45,
"current_price": 45,
"selling_price": 45,
"price_change_since_purchase": 0,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 411,
"player_name": "Haaland",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Man City",
"purchase_price": 155,
"current_price": 158,
"selling_price": 156,
"price_change_since_purchase": 3,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 346,
"player_name": "Calvert-Lewin",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Leeds",
"purchase_price": 60,
"current_price": 61,
"selling_price": 60,
"price_change_since_purchase": 1,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 497,
"player_name": "Dubravka",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Spurs",
"purchase_price": 40,
"current_price": 40,
"selling_price": 40,
"price_change_since_purchase": 0,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 426,
"player_name": "B.Fernandes",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Man Utd",
"purchase_price": 120,
"current_price": 117,
"selling_price": 117,
"price_change_since_purchase": -3,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 165,
"player_name": "João Pedro",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Chelsea",
"purchase_price": 75,
"current_price": 78,
"selling_price": 76,
"price_change_since_purchase": 3,
"status": "i",
"news": "Thigh injury - Unknown return date"
},
{
"element_id": 305,
"player_name": "Davis",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Ipswich Town",
"purchase_price": 40,
"current_price": 40,
"selling_price": 40,
"price_change_since_purchase": 0,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
}
]
}
2 get_recommendationcompleted
{
"horizon": 4,
"model": "full",
"threshold": 2,
"max_hits": 0
}
Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, model, actual_gws, threshold, allowed_hits, plan_objective, hold_objective, gain, make_transfers, players, selected_gw_plans, chip_decision, assumptions. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"model": "full",
"actual_gws": [
9,
10,
11,
12
],
"threshold": 2.0,
"allowed_hits": 0,
"plan_objective": 183.5197415136506,
"hold_objective": 179.73781057376831,
"gain": 3.7819309398822725,
"make_transfers": true,
"players": [
{
"element_id": 1,
"player_name": "Raya",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Arsenal",
"current_price": 62,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 4,
"player_name": "Gabriel",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Arsenal",
"current_price": 79,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 8,
"player_name": "Calafiori",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Arsenal",
"current_price": 60,
"status": "d",
"news": "Hip injury - 75% chance of playing"
},
{
"element_id": 15,
"player_name": "Ødegaard",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Arsenal",
"current_price": 67,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 40,
"player_name": "Rogers",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Chelsea",
"current_price": 80,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 109,
"player_name": "Verbruggen",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Brighton",
"current_price": 46,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 124,
"player_name": "Groß",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Brighton",
"current_price": 62,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 165,
"player_name": "João Pedro",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Chelsea",
"current_price": 78,
"status": "i",
"news": "Thigh injury - Unknown return date"
},
{
"element_id": 175,
"player_name": "van Ewijk",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Coventry City",
"current_price": 39,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 204,
"player_name": "Mitchell",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Crystal Palace",
"current_price": 45,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 249,
"player_name": "Barry",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Everton",
"current_price": 56,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 290,
"player_name": "Slater",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Hull City",
"current_price": 45,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 305,
"player_name": "Davis",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Ipswich Town",
"current_price": 40,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 346,
"player_name": "Calvert-Lewin",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Leeds",
"current_price": 61,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 391,
"player_name": "Gvardiol",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Man City",
"current_price": 57,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 411,
"player_name": "Haaland",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Man City",
"current_price": 158,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 426,
"player_name": "B.Fernandes",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Man Utd",
"current_price": 117,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 427,
"player_name": "Mbeumo",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Man Utd",
"current_price": 79,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 497,
"player_name": "Dubravka",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Spurs",
"current_price": 40,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 504,
"player_name": "Vuskovic",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Brighton",
"current_price": 52,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 588,
"player_name": "Khalaili",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Crystal Palace",
"current_price": 50,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
}
],
"selected_gw_plans": [
{
"gw": 9,
"buys": [
1,
249,
427
],
"sells": [
165,
426,
497
],
"team_xi": [
1,
391,
305,
175,
427,
40,
15,
124,
411,
346,
249
],
"ordered_bench": [
109,
290,
204,
8
],
"captain": 411,
"vice_captain": 346,
"hits": 0,
"expected_points": 48.63147285717917
},
{
"gw": 10,
"buys": [
4
],
"sells": [
8
],
"team_xi": [
1,
4,
391,
305,
427,
15,
124,
40,
411,
249,
346
],
"ordered_bench": [
109,
204,
175,
290
],
"captain": 4,
"vice_captain": 411,
"hits": 0,
"expected_points": 54.33913067489811
},
{
"gw": 11,
"buys": [
504
],
"sells": [
175
],
"team_xi": [
109,
504,
4,
391,
427,
124,
15,
40,
411,
249,
346
],
"ordered_bench": [
1,
204,
305,
290
],
"captain": 411,
"vice_captain": 504,
"hits": 0,
"expected_points": 52.527488723258564
},
{
"gw": 12,
"buys": [
588
],
"sells": [
391
],
"team_xi": [
1,
588,
504,
4,
204,
427,
124,
15,
346,
249,
411
],
"ordered_bench": [
109,
305,
40,
290
],
"captain": 346,
"vice_captain": 588,
"hits": 0,
"expected_points": 51.41064998778977
}
],
"chip_decision": {
"action": "save",
"chip": null,
"reason": "Save the valued chips this GW; the projected schedule favours later opportunities. Wildcard remains unassessed.",
"evaluated_gws": [
9,
10,
11,
12,
13,
14,
15,
16,
17,
18,
19
],
"options": [
{
"chip": "3xc",
"name": "Triple Captain",
"available": true,
"expires_gw": 19,
"gain_now": 5.880235614972674,
"best_gw": 16,
"best_gain": 6.979466340507839,
"planned_gw": 16,
"planned_gain": 6.979466340507839,
"reason": "Timing uses fixed-squad projected gains."
},
{
"chip": "bboost",
"name": "Bench Boost",
"available": true,
"expires_gw": 19,
"gain_now": 10.2891637800231,
"best_gw": 15,
"best_gain": 11.89126134533826,
"planned_gw": 15,
"planned_gain": 11.89126134533826,
"reason": "Timing uses fixed-squad projected gains."
},
{
"chip": "freehit",
"name": "Free Hit",
"available": true,
"expires_gw": 19,
"gain_now": 4.876200619944754,
"best_gw": 14,
"best_gain": 7.693129700215991,
"planned_gw": 14,
"planned_gain": 7.693129700215991,
"reason": "Free Hit needs transfer-plan review."
},
{
"chip": "wildcard",
"name": "Wildcard",
"available": true,
"expires_gw": 19,
"gain_now": null,
"best_gw": null,
"best_gain": null,
"planned_gw": null,
"planned_gain": null,
"reason": "Manual review: Wildcard is not valued."
}
],
"assumptions": [
"Uses the selected first-GW squad unchanged in future GWs; rerun after transfers or team news.",
"Uses current availability and minutes estimates; future injury recovery is not forecast.",
"Schedules at most one valued chip per GW within its availability window.",
"Wildcard is not valued. Free Hit requires review because it changes and then restores the squad.",
"Starting-XI EP and the transfer objective exclude chip effects; gains are reported separately."
]
},
"assumptions": [
"Uses frozen prices, squad and projections; no transfer is executed.",
"The hold plan forbids transfers in the first GW only.",
"Objectives include GW discounting, bench weighting and hit penalties.",
"Later GW transfers are provisional plans, not actions to take now."
]
}