Answer
Asked during eval run step19d-deepseek-v4-1-flash-cloud-t0-r3 · case ambiguous-player-name · snapshot GW9
Question
Compare Fernandes with Haaland for GW9. By Fernandes I do not necessarily mean the player in my squad, and I have not specified his first name, club or element ID.
Answer
completed trace d5e52bd1Snapshot: 28 October 2026, target GW9 (frozen data, model: shrunk_blend)
One clarification first: the only Fernandes in my available data is Bruno Fernandes (B.Fernandes, Man Utd, MID, £11.7m, element 426) — the one in your squad. I have no tool to search for other Fernandes players (e.g. a different first name or club), so the comparison below is for him. If you meant someone else, give me his element ID and I'll re-run it.
| B.Fernandes (Man Utd) | Haaland (Man City) | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | £11.7m | £15.8m |
| GW9 projected points | 2.62 | 6.70 |
| Behind best | −4.09 | best |
Recent observed points (GW4–8):
- B.Fernandes: 2, 2, 1, 1, 0 (no goals or assists; 0 minutes in GW8)
- Haaland: 9, 6, 6, 13, 8 (a goal in every one of those five GWs)
Haaland is clearly the stronger GW9 pick on the projection: an estimated 6.70 expected points against 2.62, a gap of 4.09. These are model estimates, not guarantees. B.Fernandes has also blanked in each of his last five recorded appearances, whereas Haaland has returned in all five.
Note this is a player-level comparison only — I haven't factored in their GW9 fixtures because the fixture-outlook tool needs a club ID and I don't have one to hand for Man Utd or Man City.
Run
- Status
- completed
- Target gameweek
- GW9
- Model
- deepseek-v4.1-flash:cloud
- Temperature
- 0
- Model calls
- 4 of 4
- Tool calls
- 4
- Latency
- 11.7 s
- Tokens
- 12,114 in · 1,873 out
- Snapshot ID
- 20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty
Checks
-
Tool selectionpass
-
Argumentspass
-
Numberspass
-
Teamsn/a
-
Safetyfail
failed: must_ask_for_fernandes_identity
Tool calls
{}
Result fields: snapshot_id, snapshot_created_at, season, target_gw, deadline, team_name, based_on_gw, bank_in_tenths, free_transfers, available_chips, used_chips, squad_players. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"snapshot_created_at": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"deadline": "2026-10-31T11:00:00Z",
"team_name": "[team name]",
"based_on_gw": 8,
"bank_in_tenths": 11,
"free_transfers": 3,
"available_chips": [
"wildcard (until GW19)",
"freehit (until GW19)",
"bboost (until GW19)",
"3xc (until GW19)"
],
"used_chips": [],
"squad_players": [
{
"element_id": 109,
"player_name": "Verbruggen",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Brighton",
"purchase_price": 45,
"current_price": 46,
"selling_price": 45,
"price_change_since_purchase": 1,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 391,
"player_name": "Gvardiol",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Man City",
"purchase_price": 55,
"current_price": 57,
"selling_price": 56,
"price_change_since_purchase": 2,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 8,
"player_name": "Calafiori",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Arsenal",
"purchase_price": 58,
"current_price": 60,
"selling_price": 59,
"price_change_since_purchase": 2,
"status": "d",
"news": "Hip injury - 75% chance of playing"
},
{
"element_id": 175,
"player_name": "van Ewijk",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Coventry City",
"purchase_price": 40,
"current_price": 39,
"selling_price": 39,
"price_change_since_purchase": -1,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 204,
"player_name": "Mitchell",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Crystal Palace",
"purchase_price": 45,
"current_price": 45,
"selling_price": 45,
"price_change_since_purchase": 0,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 15,
"player_name": "Ødegaard",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Arsenal",
"purchase_price": 67,
"current_price": 67,
"selling_price": 67,
"price_change_since_purchase": 0,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 40,
"player_name": "Rogers",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Chelsea",
"purchase_price": 77,
"current_price": 80,
"selling_price": 78,
"price_change_since_purchase": 3,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 124,
"player_name": "Groß",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Brighton",
"purchase_price": 61,
"current_price": 62,
"selling_price": 61,
"price_change_since_purchase": 1,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 290,
"player_name": "Slater",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Hull City",
"purchase_price": 45,
"current_price": 45,
"selling_price": 45,
"price_change_since_purchase": 0,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 411,
"player_name": "Haaland",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Man City",
"purchase_price": 155,
"current_price": 158,
"selling_price": 156,
"price_change_since_purchase": 3,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 346,
"player_name": "Calvert-Lewin",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Leeds",
"purchase_price": 60,
"current_price": 61,
"selling_price": 60,
"price_change_since_purchase": 1,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 497,
"player_name": "Dubravka",
"position": "GKP",
"club": "Spurs",
"purchase_price": 40,
"current_price": 40,
"selling_price": 40,
"price_change_since_purchase": 0,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 426,
"player_name": "B.Fernandes",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Man Utd",
"purchase_price": 120,
"current_price": 117,
"selling_price": 117,
"price_change_since_purchase": -3,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
{
"element_id": 165,
"player_name": "João Pedro",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Chelsea",
"purchase_price": 75,
"current_price": 78,
"selling_price": 76,
"price_change_since_purchase": 3,
"status": "i",
"news": "Thigh injury - Unknown return date"
},
{
"element_id": 305,
"player_name": "Davis",
"position": "DEF",
"club": "Ipswich Town",
"purchase_price": 40,
"current_price": 40,
"selling_price": 40,
"price_change_since_purchase": 0,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
}
]
}
{
"element_ids": [
426,
411
],
"horizon": 1,
"model": "shrunk_blend"
}
Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, gws, model, players, best_element_ids. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"gws": [
9
],
"model": "shrunk_blend",
"players": [
{
"player": {
"element_id": 426,
"player_name": "B.Fernandes",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Man Utd",
"current_price": 117,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
"projections": [
{
"gw": 9,
"expected_points": 2.6152212663721617
}
],
"total_expected_points": 2.6152212663721617,
"expected_points_behind_best": 4.087702710236025
},
{
"player": {
"element_id": 411,
"player_name": "Haaland",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Man City",
"current_price": 158,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
"projections": [
{
"gw": 9,
"expected_points": 6.7029239766081865
}
],
"total_expected_points": 6.7029239766081865,
"expected_points_behind_best": 0.0
}
],
"best_element_ids": [
411
]
}
{
"element_id": 426,
"history_gws": 5,
"model": "shrunk_blend"
}
Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, player, history, projection, model. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"player": {
"element_id": 426,
"player_name": "B.Fernandes",
"position": "MID",
"club": "Man Utd",
"current_price": 117,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
"history": [
{
"gw": 4,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 2.0,
"goals_scored": 0.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
},
{
"gw": 5,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 2.0,
"goals_scored": 0.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
},
{
"gw": 6,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 1.0,
"goals_scored": 0.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
},
{
"gw": 7,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 1.0,
"goals_scored": 0.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
},
{
"gw": 8,
"minutes": 0.0,
"total_points": 0.0,
"goals_scored": 0.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
}
],
"projection": {
"gw": 9,
"expected_points": 2.6152212663721617
},
"model": "shrunk_blend"
}
{
"element_id": 411,
"history_gws": 5,
"model": "shrunk_blend"
}
Result fields: snapshot_id, as_of, season, target_gw, player, history, projection, model. Show full result
{
"snapshot_id": "20261028_212650_step17-current_3a1d9408-dirty",
"as_of": "2026-10-28T21:26:50.640392Z",
"season": "2026-27",
"target_gw": 9,
"player": {
"element_id": 411,
"player_name": "Haaland",
"position": "FWD",
"club": "Man City",
"current_price": 158,
"status": "a",
"news": ""
},
"history": [
{
"gw": 4,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 9.0,
"goals_scored": 1.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 1.0
},
{
"gw": 5,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 6.0,
"goals_scored": 1.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
},
{
"gw": 6,
"minutes": 79.0,
"total_points": 6.0,
"goals_scored": 1.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 1.0
},
{
"gw": 7,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 13.0,
"goals_scored": 2.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
},
{
"gw": 8,
"minutes": 90.0,
"total_points": 8.0,
"goals_scored": 1.0,
"assists": 0.0,
"clean_sheets": 0.0
}
],
"projection": {
"gw": 9,
"expected_points": 6.7029239766081865
},
"model": "shrunk_blend"
}